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Many
people view a hedge fund as the diversification equivalent
of a mutual fund. This is a mistake because a single hedge
fund is not a diversified investment. A mutual fund is diversified
because its performance depends, to a great extent, on the
independent performance of the numerous management teams running
the companies it owns. Hedge fund performance, on the other
hand, depends almost exclusively on the decisions of one person-the
hedge fund manager-regardless of how many positions the hedge
fund holds.
This
difference between hedge funds and mutual funds is due to
the fact that mutual funds are portfolios of assets and hedge
funds are not. In addition to owning stocks, hedge funds short
stocks (a strategy designed to profit from declining prices),
trade in and out of stocks and use other instruments such
as futures, options or other derivatives that do not represent
ownership of an asset like stocks do.
We
recognize that hedge funds are companies that produce returns
by providing a service (information processing) rather than
broad market exposure to various assets. This concept is very
important in hedge fund investing because hedge funds (like
all businesses) are extremely risky. The only way investors
can mitigate their exposure to these risks is through a diversified
portfolio of many hedge funds.
Many
people erroneously conclude that owning 5 to 10 hedge funds
provides more than enough diversification. This has the same
effect of putting all your money in 5 or 10 stocks. Chosen
correctly, a concentrated portfolio of hedge funds can generate
very high returns. However, the risk is too high because the
failure of any one manager (which can and does happen all
the time) can cause the portfolio to decline to a point from
which it will never recover.
According
to Modern Portfolio Theory, diversification is an important
element that reduces the risk of a portfolio without diminishing
returns. Approximately 98% of diversifiable risk is eliminated
from a portfolio holding 50 - 100 hedge funds. PARADIGM currently
is diversified among 75 managers and plans to reach 100 managers
by 2003.
Past
performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
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